5 techniques simples de thinking fast and slow goodreads

5 techniques simples de thinking fast and slow goodreads

Blog Article

 when people judge a conjunction of two events to Sinon more vraisemblable than Nous of the events in a debout comparison.

What a monstrous chore to read! I've been working je this book since September pépite August (4-6 months) and just could not take reading it conscience more than a few minutes at a time. Many times did it put me to sleep.

There are however a double of problems. Firstly there are some people who apparently are wedded to the idée that people are entirely rational.

They are just the tip of iceberg and not by any means exhaustive and just admis a small bout of what this book is all embout.

Our predilection intuition causal thinking exposes règles to serious mistakes in evaluating the randomness of truly random events.

If the correlation between the intellect of spouses is less than perfect (and if men and women nous average do not differ in discernement), then it is a mathematical inevitability that highly sagace women will Si married to husbands who are je average less sagace than they are (and bassesse versa, of randonnée).

I began to study easy problems, which you guys would never get wrong plaisant untutored people routinely ut … Then you can apparence at the effects of instruction je such easy problems, which turn out to Quand huge.”

I came across Thinking, Fast and Slow when I was reading embout Richard Thaler’s work and his récompense to behavioural economics. When I had just started this book, nothing suggested that I would find myself engaged.

I have attempted to summarize some heuristics, biases and psychological principle that I thought would make a fascinating acclimatation to tempt a novice like me to further explore the subject.

Because biases appear to Quand so hardwired and inalterable, most of the attention paid to countering them hasn’t dealt with the problematic thoughts, judgments, or predictions themselves. Instead, it eh been devoted to changing behavior, in the form of incentives pépite “nudges.” For example, while present bias ha so quiche proved intractable, employers have been able to nudge employees into contributing to retirement plans by making saving the default option; you have to actively take steps in order to not participate.

The most concrète check against them, as Kahneman says, is from the outside: Others can perceive our errors more readily than we can. And “slow-thinking organizations,” as he puts it, can institute policies that include the monitoring of individual decisions and predictions. They can also require procedures such as checklists and “premortems,” an idea and term thought up by Gary Klein, a cognitive psychologist.

Daniel Kahneman satisfied my thirst. I had a solid understanding of some conception beforehand, like the Aisance bias and hindsight bias, but had never heard of other terms like soubassement rate or the erreur of validity. The sheer amount of statistics and experiments referenced throughout the book proved Kahneman's thoroughness and dedication.

In the second, she has reemerged and needs your fast and slow thinking examples help to train into some skulduggery at her company. Along the way, you’re asked to make judgments and predictions—some having to do with the story and some embout unrelated issues—which are designed to call your biases into play. You’re given immediate feedback on your answers.

متأسفانه این فرایند عاقلانه در اوقاتی که به آن نیاز است، بسیار کم مورد استفاده قرار می‌گیرد. همه‌ی ما وقتی نزدیک به ارتکاب خطای جدی هستیم، به زنگ خطری نیاز داریم که با صدای بلند نواخته شود. اما چنین زنگ خطری موجود نیست و خطاهای ذهنی، در کل، بسیار دشوارتر از خطاهای درکی تشخیص داده می‌شوند.